Economists this year the economy will continue to grow in the first tier cities housing prices will -manbetx.cc

Economist: this year the economy will continue rapid growth in first-tier cities prices will rise hundreds of economists confidence survey report shows that most economists expected economic growth this year will be "high speed" (point of view) shows the Chinese economic monitoring center, National Bureau of statistics Zhao Junli Chinese Economic Monitoring Center recently conducted China hundred economists confidence survey 2015 the fourth quarter economists confidence index was 3.52, down 0.03 points, with basically the same as last quarter. Most economists expect the dollar to rise gradually over the next 6 months, 74% of economists expect the U.S. economy to "improve", a decrease of 2 percentage points over the previous quarter; 23% expected "basically stable", an increase of 2 percentage points over the previous quarter; 3% expected deterioration, flat with the previous quarter. Most economists expect the dollar to rise gradually. 62% of the economists expect the next 6 months the dollar general "gradual appreciation", an increase of 2 percentage points over the previous quarter; 33% is expected to fluctuate slightly, down 6 percentage points from the previous quarter; 5% expected devaluation, an increase of 4 percentage points over the previous quarter. Over half of economists believe that prices will rise first-tier cities for 2016, China’s economic growth rate, the survey results show that 86% of the economists expected 2016 GDP growth of between 6.5% and 7%, respectively, 4% and 10% of the economists expect GDP growth of more than 7% or less than 6.5%; the average predictive value of 6.65%, slightly lower than the predicted value of the last quarter (6.7%). Considering the trend of shifting economic growth under the new normal, economists think 2016 2017 economic reasonable growth rate was 6.6%, 2018 – 2020 6.5% reasonable economic growth. Analysis to promote economic growth in the three carriages, economists see weak exports has increased, but the judgment on the differentiation of the foreign trade situation is obvious, China’s import and export market there are still large uncertainties that to a certain extent. Most economists think the next 6 months, the expected investment growth will slow, but the expected consumption will maintain steady growth. Most economists expect consumer prices basically stable. For the full year 2016 CPI, the average value of 1.6% economists forecast. Economists expect the real estate market will continue to differentiate. A different city prices, according to the results of the survey, in the north of Guangzhou Shenzhen and other first-tier cities, 66% of economists expect the next 6 months prices will rise, a decrease of 5 percentage points over the previous quarter; 29% expected flat, an increase of 7 percentage points; 5% is expected to "drop", reduced by 2 percentage points. For the capital city; 64% expected flat, a decrease of 3 percentage points; 28% is expected to "drop", an increase of 7 percentage points. For the other 90% City, is expected to "drop", an increase of 9 percentage points. The proposed increase reform strength, reduce the cost of enterprise economists to recognize the new situation, China’s economy is facing more perplexing environment at home and abroad, to maintain the basic stability of macroeconomic policy based on the increase

经济学家:今年经济仍将中高速增长 一线城市房价会上涨   百名经济学家信心调查报告显示,多数经济学家预期   今年经济增长仍将“中高速” (观点)   中国经济景气监测中心 赵军利   国家统计局中国经济景气监测中心于近期进行的中国百名经济学家信心调查显示,2015年四季度经济学家信心指数为3.52,微降0.03点,与上季度基本持平。   多数经济学家预期美元逐渐升值   未来6个月,74%的经济学家预期美国经济形势“改善”,比上季度减少2个百分点;23%预期“基本稳定”,比上季度增加2个百分点;3%预期“恶化”,与上季度持平。   多数经济学家预期美元逐渐升值。62%的经济学家预期未来6个月美元总体上将“逐渐升值”,比上季度增加2个百分点;33%预期“小幅波动”,比上季度减少6个百分点;5%预期“贬值”,比上季度增加4个百分点。   超半数经济学家认为一线城市房价将上涨   对于2016年我国经济增长速度,调查结果显示,86%的经济学家预期2016年GDP增速在6.5%―7%之间,分别有4%和10%的经济学家预期GDP增长高于7%或低于6.5%;平均预测值为6.65%,略低于上季度的预测值(6.7%)。考虑到新常态下经济增长换挡的趋势,经济学家认为2016年―2017年经济合理增速为6.6%,2018年―2020年经济合理增速为6.5%。   分析拉动经济增长的三驾马车,经济学家看弱出口的比重有所上升,不过对外贸形势的判断分化明显,一定程度上表明我国进出口走势仍存在较大不确定性。多数经济学家认为未来6个月预期投资增长将放缓,但预期消费将保持平稳增长。   多数经济学家预期居民消费价格基本平稳。对于2016年全年的CPI,经济学家的平均预测值为1.6%。   经济学家预期房地产市场将持续分化。关于不同城市的房价,调查结果显示,对于北上广深等一线城市,66%的经济学家预期未来6个月房价将“上涨”,比上季度减少5个百分点;29%预期“持平”,增加7个百分点;5%预期“下跌”,减少2个百分点。对于省会城市;64%预期“持平”,减少3个百分点;28%预期“下跌”,增加7个百分点。对于其他城市,90%预期“下跌”,增加9个百分点。   建议加大改革力度,降低企业成本   经济学家认识到新常态下,我国经济面临着更加错综复杂的国内外环境,希望在保持宏观政策基本稳定的基础上,加大改革力度,切实改善经济运行环境,降低企业成本,促进优胜劣汰,坚决推动经济转型升级。   针对当前经济形势,多数经济学家认为应适度提高赤字率,继续采取降准降息措施。同时,经济学家建议加大淘汰僵尸企业力度,减少过剩产能。加快培育形成新的经济增长动力。对于“十三五”期间最需要政策扶持促进的产业,经济学家选择最多的是环保和养老,其他选择较多的依次是高端装备、新能源、新材料和医药等。   来源:人民日报 进入【新浪财经股吧】讨论相关的主题文章: